X Partners with Polymarket to Display Real-Time Crypto Betting Odds on User Timelines
X will show real-time Polymarket odds under trending posts to turn social conversations into market signals. Polymarket changes Kalshi after compliance problems blocked the earlier forecast collaboration on the X platform. X will utilize Grok AI to explain market shifts utilizing post activity trade flows and historic prediction data. X has actually selected crypto forecast market Polymarket as its official prediction partner. The announcement follows the collapse of an earlier deal with Kalshi. With Polymarket, X aims to display real-time betting likelihoods directly on users’ timelines. This partnership mixes market data with social conversations in such a way that avoids standard financial regulations. Polymarket allows users outside the U.S. to place bets on international events using blockchain technology. The platform processed over $8 billion in volume last year, despite limiting access in the United States. This model aligns more closely with X’s global strategy and decentralization goals. Previous Kalshi Deal Faced Regulatory Barriers Earlier this year, Kalshi briefly announced a partnership with X. However, within hours, the companies withdrew the statement and removed all references. Kalshi is a regulated U.S. exchange overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. This structure created compliance issues that limited its ability to scale internationally. As a result, X abandoned the Kalshi deal and sought a more flexible partner. The shift to Polymarket indicates a preference for blockchain-powered services that do not require U.S. regulatory approval. It also reflects Elon Musk’s belief that crowdsourced predictions can be more accurate than traditional polling. Polymarket Odds Appear Under Trending Posts With the new integration, users will see a small widget under posts tied to active Polymarket markets. The widget shows real-time odds, event summaries, and recent price changes. Users can tap to get more information or follow the market for updates. U.S. users will be restricted from accessing betting features due to legal limitations. This feature turns trending events such as elections, economic decisions, or sports results into visible, data-driven insights. X hopes this will increase engagement while providing new ways for users to analyze global developments. Grok Adds Context With AI Summaries X will also use its AI assistant, Grok, to provide market insights. Grok scans posts, blockchain data, and previous patterns to explain why odds are moving. It highlights top posts that influenced changes and alerts users to unusual activity. Users will receive short summaries without needing to delve into long threads. In future updates, X may allow verified users to share alternate analyses. This would offer users more balanced information without removing the real-time data stream.
